LPI operates in very dynamic and often rapidly shifting environments and deals with this through a number of different methods and tools, one of them being scenario planning. Scenario planning helps LPI to prepare for the future as well as to think strategically around various actual and potential risk factors in its surrounding environment, making sure that the Institute’s planned programmes allow for the needed flexibility. LPI does systematic scenario planning using both inductive and deductive approaches in each of its programmes as well as at the head office level.

Scenario planning is done in relation to the development of implementation plans, annual plans, conflict analyses, and for specific issues of relevance. Monitoring contexts and following up on these plans and their strategic implications in relation to unfolding scenarios are an important part of the continued work done in each programme. Scenario planning is also an important and useful tool for the Institute’s partners in the field. For this reason LPI will help to build the partners’ capacity in scenario planning when suitable and desired by the partner.

LPI has previously analysed the different scenarios that can unfold in relation to its programmes and the contexts in which it has been working. While this has helped us to be prepared for different potential futures, a lot more can be gained by a systematic usage of scenario planning within the whole organisation. Therefore, LPI wants to continuously improve the capacity within the organisation to also take the strategic implications of different scenarios into account in a more systematic and continuous manner.